Jessica

Jessica

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在日本,每年6月份,日本政府主要发布防灾、老龄化社会、环境、犯罪等社会白皮书;7月发布经济财政、贸易、科技、劳动经济、中小企业等经济白皮书。日本内阁府的《经济财政白皮书》、经济产业省的《贸易白皮书》、文部科学省的《科技白皮书》并称为日本三大白皮书。 2015-07-03, 11:00更多
There's finally a glimmer of hope for the oil market

There's finally a glimmer of hope for the oil market

We′re?finally?seeing?a?glimmer?of?good?news?for?oil:?global?production?has?started?to?slow?down.?

In?a?recent?note?to?clients,?Credit?Suisse′s?Ed?Westlake?and?Jan?Stuart?shared?a?few?charts?showing?that?global?production?ex-Saudi?Arabia?finally?started?slowing?in?2015.?

According?to?the?data?cited?in?their?charts,?global?oil?production?has?slowed?to?approximately?83?million?barrels?per?day?in?2016,?from?about?84?million?in?mid-2015.?

"Production?clearly?is?not?′resilient′?anywhere?for?long,"?they?wrote.?

However,?we?should?note?that?the?recent?data?from?the?US?Energy?Information?Administration?shows?that?total?world?production?is?up?to?96.27?million?barrels?per?day?in?2016,?up?from?95.76?million?bpd?in?2015.?

Looking?under?the?hood,?Credit?Suisse′s?team?noted?that?US?production?(including?crude?and?natural?gas),?European?production?(including?crude?and?natural?gas),?and?non-OPEC-non-US?production?have?all?started?to?turn.?

Data?from?the?EIA?shows?that?the?US?now?produces?about?8.60?million?barrels?of?crude?oil?per?day?in?2016,?down?from?9.43?million?barrels?of?oil?per?day?in?2015.?

At?the?same?time,?the?Credit?Suisse?duo?notes?that?they?expect?strong?demand?growth?in?2016,?although?moderated?from?the?pace?in?2015.?

"2015?was?a?good?year?for?global?oil?demand?growth.?And?despite?a?winter?slowdown?(driven?by?reduced?diesel?and?heating?oil?consumption)?we?expect?the?trend?of?healthy?growth?to?continue?through?2016?—?we?see?1.5%?versus?1.8%?last?year,"?they?argued.?

Notably,?West?Texas?Intermediate?crude?oil?futures?in?New?York?touched?a?2016?high?of?$42.25?on?Tuesday?after?reports?that?Saudi?Arabia?and?Russia?had?agreed?to?freeze?production,?and?ahead?of?Sunday′s?meeting?between?oil?heavyweights?in?Doha,?Qatar.?

On?Wednesday,?Russia′s?oil?minister,?Alexander?Novak,?confirmed?he?held?production-freeze?talks?with?Saudi?Arabia′s?oil?minister,?Ali?al-Naimi.?

"Now?I?do?not?want?to?comment?prematurely?on?what?will?be?discussed?on?April?17?in?Doha.?Let′s?wait?for?the?consultations,"?Novak?told?the?Russian?news?agency?TASS.?"The?talks?were?held?yesterday,?this?is?a?fact,?but?I?will?not?announce?the?decision?beforehand."?

As?of?1:16?p.m.?ET,?WTI?oil?is?at?$41.88.?

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